Nba Moneyline

The over/under, or “total,” and the moneyline are the two other common bets made on NBA games. The total (combined points by both teams) is set by the sportsbook, and bettors can choose to bet. NBA Betting Guide for 2/3/21: A Moneyline, an Over, and an Under to Target Tonight: Despite a 10-game slate, there isn't a ton of value projected from our model. So where should we look to start. Get the latest NBA odds, point spreads, money lines and over/unders for popular sportsbooks and view SportsLine's expert analysis of each upcoming game. By Jimmy Boyd in NBA. For the uninitiated, betting on the money line simply means betting on which team you think will win the game. The money line is adjusted based on the spread to help books mitigate risk. For example, a favorite of four points in the NBA might have a money line of around -184. Compare NBA odds & betting lines Mar 05 to find the best Basketball moneyline, spread, and Over/Under totals odds from online sportsbooks.

For the uninitiated, betting on the money line simply means betting on which team you think will win the game. The money line is adjusted based on the spread to help books mitigate risk.

For example, a favorite of four points in the NBA might have a money line of around -184. This means you would need to wager $184 to win $100 if you bet on that team to win.

For underdogs it works a bit differently. A 4-point underdog in the NBA would have a money line listed at about +150. What this means is that you would win $150 for every $100 wagered on this team if they were to win the game outright.

Converting NBA Spreads to Their True Money Lines

What I’m really interested in is whether or not money line betting in the NBA is profitable. I went back over the results of over 20,000 games to find out how teams have performed on the money line. I wanted to see if it’s worth taking at any different spreads.

The chart below shows what the money line for NBA games at each spread should be based on the results of over 28,000 NBA games. It is important to note that these are the fair market values for each money line. Sportsbooks don’t offer fair market odds (otherwise they’d find it difficult to turn a profit). This way we can use the data to identify potential opportunities to take the money line when it is not properly priced. Since we have taken their built in edge out of each probability, we can feel confident that we are getting real value if the money line posted at our book is better than the price in the chart.

The more common the spread, the more accurate the expected win percentage is going to be. We have excluded spreads with less than 100 games to look at, but in reality you are better off considering those with a sample size of 500 or more games.

Point Spread to Expected Win % & Money Line

The table below shows this information in more detail, including how often the favorite and underdog win outright at a given spread, then converting it to a win percentage and using that probability to create a true money line value. Books aren’t stupid, so it’s not common to find value on a regular basis across the board, however, there are some books that are not as sharp as others, or that must compensate for public action on one side and are forced to over adjust one way or the other. This are the situations that are best suited to use this data.

LineGamesWinsLossesFav Win %Dog Win %Fav MLDog ML-1110554256349.05%50.95%+104-104-1.5105054450651.81%48.19%-108+108-2151583268354.92%45.08%-122+122-2.5147888159759.61%40.39%-148+148-3167196071157.45%42.55%-135+135-3.5157296760561.51%38.49%-160+160-4160698562161.33%38.67%-159+159-4.51632105258064.46%35.54%-181+181-51617106055765.55%34.45%-190+190-5.51483100647767.84%32.16%-211+211-61514108343171.53%28.47%-251+251-6.5139599639971.40%28.60%-250+250-71379102835174.55%25.45%-293+293-7.5118188629575.02%24.98%-300+300-8114089824278.77%21.23%-371+371-8.5100079220879.20%20.80%-381+381-999081317782.12%17.88%-459+459-9.577563514081.94%18.06%-454+454-1075764411385.07%14.93%-570+570-10.56235467787.64%12.36%-709+709-115785037587.02%12.98%-671+671-11.54654085787.74%12.26%-716+716-124403875387.95%12.05%-730+730-12.53353072891.64%8.36%-1096+1096-133583203889.39%10.61%-842+842-13.52432281593.83%6.17%-1520+1520-142592411893.05%6.95%-1339+1339-14.5157152596.82%3.18%-3040+3040-15137130794.89%5.11%-1857+1857-15.5107102595.33%4.67%-2040+2040

Spread to Moneyline Conversion

• NFL
• College Football
• College Basketball

Nba Moneyline History

Buy PicksFree PicksBetting GuideHandicapping GuideHandicappersArchivesInjury ReportsOddsOdds CalculatorParlay CalculatorNBA Score CalculatorFollow on Twitter

Nba Moneyline

• Where to Bet:

How to read NBA Las Vegas Odds

The point-spread was developed to provide a balance for both teams involved in a contest to attract bettors to potentially back the weaker team and receive points. The two squads in a game are listed with a title, either a favorite or an underdog. The favorite is usually the perceived better team in the game, as backing them means giving up several points.

The favorite is always listed with a minus (-) sign before the point-spread while the underdog is labeled with a plus (+) label.

Ex. Favorite -10, Underdog +10

On the VegasInsider.com odds page, there is another number associated with the favorite and its listed as -10. This number is simply defined as “vig” or what many in the sports betting industry call vigorish. Another common term is called “juice” and it’s technically the price the bettor has to pay on a straight wager.

Ex. Bet $110 to win $100 (10% juice)
Ex. Bet $100 to win $91.91 (10% juice)

It's not uncommon to see other values posted other than -10. Examples seen on the NBA Vegas Odds pages could include -08, -12, -15 and -20. The -10 price is the most common value in the industry while many books offer reduced 'juice odds' and that would fall into the -08 category.

The lower-juice sportsbooks are normally found outside of the state of Nevada. If you are in a state where sports betting is legal, please check out our online sportsbook directory to find the best and most secure places to make NBA bets.

Another number that’s posted on the NBA Las Vegas is the total or ‘over/under’ for the specific matchup. If the favorite is designated as the home team, then the total will be listed above and vice versa if the visitors are favorites.

All of the above numbers are listed next to the teams, and before each matchup is a Rotation number. The NBA Las Vegas Odds are listed in order of rotation and those numbers are generated and produced by the sportsbooks. Above each matchup and rotation is the Time of the game, which is subject to change. All game times are Eastern Standard Time.

NBA Open Line

One of the best features on the NBA Vegas Odds is the Open Line. This numbers consists of the first betting line received from one of our Las Vegas or Global Sportsbooks. The opening line varies depending on the sportsbook but it provides a clear-cut rating that the oddsmakers use. If you’re betting on the NBA or any other sport, it’s a great idea to view the open line first.

VI Consensus NBA Line

The VegasInsider.com Consensus NBA Line is just as important as the Open Line and also a key resource on odds platform. The Consensus column could be called a “Median Line” since it shows the most consistent number provided by the sportsbooks on VegasInsider.com. The consensus line will be the same as the open line but once the wagers start coming in, this number is often different than the openers.

Betting on NBA Games

Where can I bet on NBA games?

There are several legal sportsbook options in the United States. Visit our sportsbook directory to find online sportsbooks where you can bet on the NBA.

Who are the experts picking to win?

Our experts offer picks on all the big NBA games. Check out our 2020 NBA Playoff Predictions or our NBA game picks to see what our handicappers are saying.

What type of bets can I make on NBA games?

Betting the point spread, straight up winner, and over/under point total are the three popular NBA bets. Sportsbooks also first half lines, live betting, and other betting angles.

Who's the favorite to win the NBA Championship?

For odds on where teams will finish in the NBA Playoffs, check out our NBA Futures page.

Can you place parlay bets on NBA games?

Most sportsbooks will allow you to parlay your baskteball bets, meaning you can bet on multiple odds and win a bigger payout if they all win. Check out our parlay calculator to see what your payout will be.